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October 31 2001
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U.S. Officials Want a Dose for Every Person in the Country by the End of 2002

 

By Susan Okie

Federal health officials, spurred by last month's terrorist attacks and by the recent dissemination of anthrax spores through the mail, are mounting an unprecedented effort to produce enough smallpox vaccine for every American by the end of next year.

The smallpox virus, which some experts fear may be in the arsenal of rogue nations and terrorist organizations, is the most dreaded potential biological weapon.

Smallpox can't be cured with current drugs, kills about one-third of victims and spreads easily from person to person. Because most Americans have no immunity to the virus, isolating those infected and vaccinating everyone who came into contact with them would offer the only hope of halting a potentially devastating epidemic.

But the crash program is raising some questions: Should some medical workers be vaccinated immediately? And will the decision to produce so many doses of the vaccine fuel public demand for a hazardous mass immunization campaign?

The vaccine's rare but serious side effects make it far too risky to administer preventively in a national immunization campaign. When all US infants were vaccinated routinely, a practice that ended in 1971, about five children died of vaccine-related complications for every 1 million immunized. The risk of death is lower, but still present, in adults.

"This is a vaccine that has real, known adverse reactions, and that's why it's not to be given out lightly en masse," said Myron M. Levine, director of the Center for Vaccine Development at the University of Maryland School of Medicine.

"I hope we'll never get back to having to use it in large numbers of people again."

The frequency of serious complications with the old smallpox vaccine was higher than for any vaccine now on the market, and vaccine experts assume the risks will be similar with the new version, which contains the same live virus -- called vaccinia or cowpox -- but is made by a different process.

In a child with eczema, for example, the virus in the vaccine can spread quickly to produce a life-threatening rash.

In rare instances, especially in people with weakened immune systems, it can cause encephalitis (brain inflammation) or can spread from the vaccination site to involve the entire arm, the bloodstream or other areas of the body.

If the frequency of serious complications from the new vaccine is similar to that seen in the 1960s with the old vaccine, a national immunization campaign would be expected to kill more than 300 people.

But the vaccine's risks could be considerably greater today than in the 1960s because more Americans are living with weakened immune systems, said John F. Modlin, chief of pediatrics at Dartmouth Medical School and chairman of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices for the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

"Thirty and 40 years ago, we weren't treating patients with leukemia, we weren't doing kidney and liver transplants, we didn't have HIV infection," Modlin said.

Because of those risks, experts are divided even on the question of whether to recommend that emergency room personnel and hospital staff should be vaccinated unless there is an imminent threat of smallpox.

A newly vaccinated health care worker could spread live vaccinia virus to others, thereby posing a threat to hospital patients whose immune systems were compromised, Henderson said.

"Trying to vaccinate your health care workers in advance, we don't think it's a great idea," said Henderson, who was recently named chairman of a new HHS advisory committee on bioterrorism.

Most of the approximately 300 million doses that federal officials say are needed would come from a new version of the smallpox vaccine that has not yet been tested in humans. An estimated 75 million doses would come from the existing stock of 15 million doses of an old vaccine, which health officials hope to dilute to make it go farther.

The smallpox vaccine formerly used in the United States was made by growing large quantities of vaccinia virus on the abdominal skin of live calves. It is no longer manufactured, and the process used to produce it is outmoded.

So when Henderson and other health experts warned the Clinton administration in the late 1990s that smallpox vaccine stocks should be expanded, government officials had to seek a new manufacturer to produce a vaccine using modern methods.

Last fall, the federal government contracted with a US company called Oravax (subsequently bought by British drugmaker Acambis PLC) to make a new smallpox vaccine. It contains vaccinia virus that has been grown in cultured human fibroblasts (connective tissue cells) inside large sterile containers called bioreactors, said Anthony S. Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.

The contract originally called for delivery of 40 million doses by 2004, but the company recently agreed to provide 50 million doses by the end of 2002.

The new vaccine has yet to be tested in people.

Health officials assume it will be effective because it contains the same type of vaccinia virus that was used successfully in the old vaccine. Pilot lots of the new vaccine for testing in human volunteers should be available in January, Fauci said.

Because volunteers can't be infected with smallpox virus to test the vaccine's protective effect, researchers will have to use skin tests, antibody tests and other measures to see whether it produces an immune response, Levine said.

"We don't know for sure what the mediators of protection [against smallpox] are," he said. "If there was a big difference between a new vaccine and the old vaccine, that would be a potential problem."

The Food and Drug Administration, which regulates vaccines, has agreed to act quickly on the new smallpox vaccines, officials said. "We're committed to doing everything we can to speed development of these products . . . without shortcutting FDA standards for safety and effectiveness," said FDA spokeswoman Lenore Gelb.

Meanwhile, health officials hope to stretch the existing stock of 15 million doses of the old vaccine by diluting it. Fauci said that a preliminary study in 60 people found that even when diluted to one-tenth of its original concentration, the vaccine produces a characteristic skin reaction indicating an immune response in 70 percent of recipients.

The National Institutes of Health and other research centers, including the University of Maryland, are recruiting volunteers for a similar study in 650 people, comparing undiluted vaccine with 5 to 1 and 10 to 1 dilutions.

Fauci predicted the vaccine will be about 90 percent effective when diluted to one-fifth the original concentration, allowing current stocks to be diluted to make 75 million doses.

Experts emphasized that control of any potential smallpox outbreak will depend as much on doctors' ability to recognize cases of the disease when they see it as on health officials' ability to deliver the vaccine.

Few US doctors practicing today have ever seen a case of smallpox. Henderson said that despite warnings from bioterrorism experts urging training for doctors, little training has been provided until recently.

Washington Post October 28, 2001; Page A18



Dr. Mercola Dr. Mercola's Comments:

It seems quite apparent that the US will have the smallpox vaccine for the general population. The only question seems to be when.

It would certainly seem appropriate to have the vaccine available, but as the experts in the above article state, it could be an unmitigated disaster if this vaccine is unleashed on our population unnecessarily.

Give me a break, life threatening reactions in infants with eczema. I have seen hundreds and hundreds of children with eczema. I don't do any more general family medicine, but my guess is that a significant percentage of children have eczema.

Even the chairman of the highly conservative CDC vaccine branch recognizes that the immune capacity of the US general population has decreased considerably in the last forty years and the smallpox vaccine has a huge potential to absolutely devastate large numbers of people.

Widespread application of smallpox vaccine could make the vaccine induced autism epidemic seem like a piece of cake.

If bioterrorists do release smallpox then the vaccine would certainly seem the lesser of two evils, but until that time we need to resist widespread immunization as strongly as possible.

For further information on this topic please be sure and read the article on smallpox immunization from 1937, when it was real problem in the US.

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